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Pro Football Prospectus: 2003 EDITION

Pro Football Prospectus: 2003 EDITION
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Manufacturer: Potomac Books
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Additional Pro Football Prospectus: 2003 EDITION Information

Football coaches say the greatest improvement occurs between games one and two of the season. If that adage can be applied to football books, you’re in for a treat, as Pro Football Prospectus builds on its successful debut with the 2003 edition. Improving on what FOXSports.com called "361 pages of football goodness" will be tough, but Sean Lahman, Todd Greanier, and their collection of football connoisseurs are back to cogitate on the 2002 season and calculate what might happen in 2003.

Pro Football Prospectus builds from the innovative Football Project, a full play-by-play database that allows an evaluation of every offensive and defensive series leaguewide. In the 2002 edition, it provided statistics for a unique sacks-to-pass-plays ratio. In the 2003 edition, discover whether scrambling QBs are more effective than pocket passers, and see the true impact of special teams play.

The Prospectus also features a brand new statistic, DPro, to rate defensive players. It combines sacks, tackles, assists, interceptions, fumble recoveries, and defensive touchdowns-the NFL doesn’t even officially collect tackle and fumble recovery stats, but the Football Project does!-to give the reader a statistical comparison of defensive players by position. This year’s edition introduces Adjusted Yards, a system for rating offensive players and return specialists that helps answer such questions as, Does it make sense to draft quarterbacks in the first round? Who really are the greatest running backs of all time? At what age do wide receivers peak?

No other football annual provides so much information about the game’s past and present and insights into future seasons. With statistics, essays, discussions, and even fantasy football rankings, Pro Football Prospectus gives you the ultimate football experience!

 

What Customers Say About Pro Football Prospectus: 2003 EDITION:

It's not terribly written, there's some entertainment to it, but no more analysis than you can get by dropping 4.95 on a Street and Smiths. There was NOTHING groundbreaking about it. The baseball prospectus books are a national treasure. I really could have done better with about a month of typing. For example, to not even adjust the expected yards per carry by the 3 d's : Down, distance, and defense. How can you still publish 'analysis' comparing to league averages. I enjoyed Football by the Numbers and The Hidden Game of Football when they came out in the 80's. Sure it's decent analysis but no better than you can get in any fantasy football magazine.

Where the baseball guys make are innovating, this is more mindless pablum. How 1984 pre-PC/excel spreadsheets can you get. I love books of this genre. This book is so far behind where it should have been. The basketball one had some improvements over the Basketball abstracts and Hoopstats of the late 80's-early 90's, but this football left me flat.

With the Browns, they look at the connection between the offensive line play and a team's overall success. It's about 100 pages longer full of fascinating stuff.First, the player comments section is greatly expanded. As someone who loves football as much as I do, I'm thrilled to see this book done so well. For the Titans, they observe that running backs tend to have a sharp decline after the age of thirty. They've added sections for coaches (not just head coaches but the whole coaching staff) and special teams.Second, the team essays are just fascinating. For Seattle, they examine the criteria for coaches to get into the Hall of Fame. For stat-geeks like me, it's the sabrmetric-type studies that are most interesting.

My guess is that most readers will skip past the number crunching to find out about their favorite team or to scout players for their fantasy league. I haven't had time to fully digest all of the work here, and I intend to so my own studies to weigh the merits of what Lahman and Greanier have done. looking at why this team collapsed last year or what that team has done during the offseason. When this year's edition arrived, my jaw dropped. Not sure if they included more players, but the writeups are significantly longer. For each team they ask a general question, and while it certainly relates to the team in question, it tends to be a full-fledged statistical study that has broader applications.

Finally, I have to say that the authors knocked my socks off with the hard-core analysis that begins the book. But it's exciting to see that this sort of analytical approach is being undertaken for football, that there is a football book worthy of the "Prospectus" name. I bought this book last year, and was very excited to see that someone was doing serious football analysis again. Sure, they cover the important points about each team. They introduce a number of statistical tools, some of which we've seen before but most of which are brand new.

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